One thing we have learnt over the past few years as there is no such thing as a standard component any more. Replacement parts for bikes have now become a minefield of common and obscure standards, most so similar yet still completely incompatible, it’s a complete headache.
As a distributor this becomes a massive problem as we then have to invest in stock to cover an obscure standard that somebody may or may not want. We can do this as we have the advantage of a massive customer base, who in-turn have large customer bases so somebody somewhere is going to need that part sooner or later. If we look at it on a shop level the customer base diminishes so the chance of a dealer having the exact standard of component for that customer who walks through the door becomes a lot smaller.
We notice sales wise that we are selling a lot of headsets, headset bearings and bottom brackets, in actual fact more than ever. We also notice that the orders for these products are becoming more and more for single items, so dealers are ordering the exact part for a specific job, this leads me to ask the question ‘are dealers de-stocking because of standards?’ The simple answer has to be yes, we can already see this through patterns in our sales.
For dealers complex standards are a nightmare, why take the risk on stocking something which has a low stock turn when you could invest the same amount with a far higher stock turn. With this in mind de-stocking complex parts makes perfect business sense, but by doing so you risk losing the customer service element which consumers expect from an IDB.
Back in the 90’s I worked in a few retail shops and making a stocking decision was relatively easy. I have a demand for headsets so I need to stock headsets. When a customer walked through the door and you could sell them a headset (and hopefully fit it), you have a happy customer and hopefully he will return. Move forward to today and a customer walks in to a bike shop and asks for a headset for his bike. The first problem is that the dealer has is to work out what headset the customer actually needs; the second problem is you don't stock 'that one'; the third problem is that you have to call your supplier to order the headset in and hope the customer will wait and possibly pay the postage charge.
I have just used headsets here for an example, but you can easily substitute them for bottom brackets, bearings, chain rings, chain sets, hubs, free hubs and cassettes etc...
With every additional standard launched on the market my heart sinks a little, as I know what’s coming, dealers will continue to de-stock service parts as they struggle to understand the market. By choosing to de-stock the dealer risks losing customers to other sales channels.... But ultimately it’s the customer that loses as they can no longer buy what they want, in their local shop when they need it.
And the worst part about of it is, we as an industry are driving this trend...
UPDATE: Following the publication of this we had a pretty good discussion on twitter with lots of great points being made, here are a few
@DanJones34 is the Bike Industry (ie Trek/Spec/Giant) end game dealerships a la BMW rather than IBDs?
— Dan Lees (@DanLees) April 21, 2015
@DanJones34 I think also depends on OEM (then replacing) on stock bikes. Certainly Trek/Spesh/Giant are in a position to push own agenda.
— Neil Cain (@Neil_Cain) April 21, 2015
@DanLees @DanJones34 Great point. Or it could just be increased drive to shorten the lifespan of bikes, and discourage fixing and updating.
— Kelvin Owers (@spittingcat) April 21, 2015
@danjones34 i second those emotions wholeheartedly. and i've even said so.
— brian palmer (@twmp) April 21, 2015
@spittingcat @danlees @danjones34 this is why I think @ShimanoMTB have played a blinder in making 11 speed compatible with 9/10 speed hubs…
— Gary Lake (@GaryLake) April 21, 2015
@DanJones34 @spittingcat Vaild and true points. Not helped by others (includes self) promoting the new shiny shiny.
— Greg May (@greg_may_) April 21, 2015
@DanJones34 I think shops will hold less in store and will rely on distro's/suppliers to hold it and get them the parts they need quicker
— Andrew Delahay (@Delbike32) April 21, 2015